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The 2030 Thesis

I rebuilt my entire portfolio in one hour on February 26, 2026.
Every position, every thesis, every return — nothing hidden.

Outperforming by 0.4%
Portfolio
-4.0%
vs
S&P 500
-4.4%
13 positions0.4% cash

No fund. No paid community. No gate. This is my real money, open-sourced — because the best way to test a thesis is to let everyone watch.

Five Pillars

I believe AI is restructuring what power, value, and wealth mean. This portfolio is that thesis in action.

AI is real and accelerating

Not hype. Not a bubble. The market is still pricing it through the old lens.

Energy is the binding constraint

Data center power demand: 62GW (2025) to 134GW (2030). Nuclear is the only answer at scale.

Infrastructure beats software

SaaS and knowledge-work companies face structural decline. Physical-layer businesses survive.

The old indexes are broken

VOO/QQQ carry 34-41% Mag 7 concentration and 15-20% in AI-disrupted sectors. Passive is not safe.

Cash is a position

Patience is a weapon during structural transitions. Deploy with conviction, not urgency.

What Changed

In eight months I went from a passive index investor to rebuilding everything around a single thesis. Here's every shift and why.

In December 2025, I killed my own SaaS product because AI made it obsolete. Then I looked at my portfolio and realized I was still holding VOO and QQQ — which meant I owned hundreds of SaaS companies through indexes. I'd seen firsthand how fast AI destroys software businesses, and I was betting my savings on them surviving. That's the moment the thesis clicked.

7 positions, mostly indexes13 positions with a thesis behind each one

VOO and QQQ gave me market exposure. But 34-41% of those indexes are Mag 7 stocks, and 15-20% are in sectors AI is about to restructure. Passive stopped being safe.

"Do nothing" as a strategyActive conviction with public accountability

Doing nothing works in a normal market. This isn't a normal market. AI is repricing entire industries in real time. Sitting still is now the riskiest move.

Broad diversificationConcentrated bets on the AI supply chain

I went from owning 500+ companies through indexes to owning 9 companies I can explain in one sentence each. If I can't articulate why I own it, I shouldn't own it.

No energy exposure25% in nuclear and power generation

Every AI model needs electricity. Data center power demand is projected to double by 2030. The companies that generate and fuel that power have pricing leverage that software companies don't.

Software and services tiltPhysical infrastructure and real assets

SaaS margins look great until AI can replicate the product. Data centers, uranium mines, and power plants can't be copied with a prompt. I moved to things that are hard to build.

Current Holdings

Updated 4/7/2026

USD TFSA

Silicon Layer

GOOGL
Alphabet
16.4%

AI application + cloud + distribution

Return-2.1%
AVGO
Broadcom
11.7%

AI networking / custom silicon

Return+0.6%
TSM
TSMC
6.1%

Semiconductor manufacturing bottleneck

Return-8.6%

Energy Layer

CEG
Constellation Energy
10.5%

Nuclear energy for AI compute

Return-13.9%
CCJ
Cameco
4.6%

Uranium / nuclear fuel supply

Return-5.1%
VST
Vistra
9.9%

Energy diversification

Return-11.4%

Physical Infrastructure

BN
Brookfield Corp
13.1%

Infrastructure / renewables / real assets

Return-2.4%
EQIX
Equinix
6.6%

Data center physical layer

Return+7.3%

Cash Fortress

BRK.B
Berkshire Hathaway
21.0%

Cash fortress / physical assets

Return-2.4%
Cash
Cash (USD)
0.4%

Dry powder

Return

CAD FHSA

Silicon Layer

GOOG CDR
Alphabet (CDR)
20.0%

AI application (CAD hedged)

Return-3.1%

Energy Layer

CCO
Cameco (TSX)
12.9%

Nuclear fuel (TSX)

Return-3.7%

Physical Infrastructure

BN.TO
Brookfield Corp
16.8%

Infrastructure

Return-9.1%

Cash Fortress

BRK CDR
Berkshire Hathaway (CDR)
49.3%

Cash fortress (CAD hedged)

Return-6.3%
Cash
Cash (CAD)
1.0%

Dry powder

Return

The Pivot

I sold six positions and bought nine new ones in one hour. At some point, you have to put the money where the thesis is.

Feb 26, 2026 · 11am–12pm

USD TFSA

Before — 7 positions

VOO
31%
BRK-B
28%
QQQ
26%
BN
9%
SCHD
4%
UNH
2%
BIL
1%

After — 10 positions

Silicon Layer
GOOGL / AVGO / TSM
34%
Energy Layer
CEG / CCJ / VST
25%
Physical Infrastructure
BN / EQIX
20%
Cash Fortress
BRK.B / Cash
21%

CAD FHSA

Before — 4 positions

BRK CDR
65%
VFV
20%
XQQ
15%
Cash
0%

After — 5 positions

Silicon Layer
GOOG CDR
20%
Energy Layer
CCO
13%
Physical Infrastructure
BN.TO
17%
Cash Fortress
BRK CDR / Cash
50%

Performance

USD TFSA vs S&P 500

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Thesis Portfolio
S&P 500 (SPY)

Note: This is an active thesis, not a settled strategy. I'll share updates as data confirms or challenges the thesis.

If the thesis is wrong, the chart will show it. That's the point of tracking in public.

Signal Log

Data points that confirm, challenge, or inform the thesis.

2026-02-26NeutralPillar 1

Portfolio reconstructed around AI infrastructure thesis

Sold VOO, QQQ, SCHD, UNH, BIL. Bought GOOGL, AVGO, TSM, CEG, CCJ, VST, EQIX. Kept BRK.B and BN. Rebuilt both USD TFSA and CAD FHSA in one hour.

2026-02-25ConfirmsPillar 2

Data center power demand projections: 62GW to 134GW by 2030

Multiple sources now projecting data center electricity demand roughly doubling by 2030. Nuclear is the only clean baseload source that can scale. Confirms energy thesis.

2026-02-20ConfirmsPillar 5

Berkshire Hathaway cash pile exceeds $300B

Buffett continues building cash position, signaling patience and waiting for better deployment opportunities. Validates cash-as-a-position thesis.

2026-02-15ConfirmsPillar 1

Alphabet Q4 2025: Cloud + AI revenue acceleration

Google Cloud crossed $12B quarterly run rate with AI workloads driving growth. Search revenue resilient despite AI disruption fears. Model quality improving faster than market expects.

Follow the Thesis

I share updates when I add a position, log a new signal, or publish annual results.

Signal log updates
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Radical transparency means you see exactly what I own, what I paid, and how it's performing. I'm not running a fund, selling a course, or gating this behind a subscription. This is my real portfolio, fully open.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm showing what I do, not telling you what to do. This is a concentrated, actively managed portfolio with higher risk than broad index investing. Past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Do your own research. I may buy or sell any of these positions at any time without notice.